Trends worth Tracking:
DOGS in Week 2 of the NFL went 11-5 and dogs went 7-3-1 ATS of the year in Week 1. ATS is be 10-5-1ed by ROAD teams so far dogs moved 1. I expect profits that are additional from puppies in Week 1. Dogs ATS last year in the first fourteen days went 19-13. Jacksonville is a dog, they are also on the street – this match is circled for reasons for me personally.
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The experts whom I expect over at TeamRankings.com have downgraded Houston 0.4pts from Week 1 to Week 2 and moved them down one rank to the #11 power rated team in the NFL. In terms of Jacksonville, they are downgraded -1.1pts from Week 1 to Week 2 transferring down them two places on the #20 energy rated club in the NFL.
Defensive Ratings:
Jacksonville’s didn’t fare well vs the Chiefs in Week 1. They enabled 491 yards and 40 pts using all the Chiefs averaging 12.3 yards per point. Jacksonville’s defense efficacy rating was 15%, meaning it took 15% of their Chiefs’ total yards to dent 6pts.
The D of houston did not fair much better vs New Orleans in Week 1. The Texans enabled 510 yards to Drew Brees and 30pts. Houston finished the match with a defensive efficiency rating of 20 percent. Based Week 1 amounts Houston is your # 23 ranked defense in the league on and Jacksonville is your defense in the league.
Jacksonville Net/Net
With all things considered, Jacksonville’s offense did not look useless without Nick Foles who left the match early with a busted and will be targeting a return to Week 11. Until the Jags will go Gardner Minshew who did not have a game vs the Chiefs.
Minshew went 22/25 throwing for 275 yards and 2 touchdowns, albeit the two of them were in garbage time. Leonard Fournette rushed for 66 yards, DJ Clark Jr’d 146 yards. Jacksonville was still Net/Net positive for Week 1 heading for 8.6 yards per play and 8.2 yards against. A Net/Net score of +0.4
Houston Net/Net
The crime in Week 1 of houston did not look exciting by any stretch of the imagination. Deshaun Watson moved 20/30 throwing for yards and 3 touchdowns. Carlos Hyde rushed for 83 yards on 10 attempts, and DeAndre Hopkins had 8 receptions for 111 yards.
On the other hand, the drawback for the Texans came from the defense who allowed 510 yards against. The Texans finished the game with 7 metres per play on offense and 7.8 yards against on defense. A Net/Net negative evaluation of -0.8.
AlMac’s Ability Rating:
From what I watched from Week 1 and blending it with the data that I have from your 2018 NFL season. I’ve Jacksonville the 13 rated team in the NFL, even with the reduction of Foles I think this group is immensely underrated in my view.
They were fairly dreadful annually as a whole allowing a typical 5.1 yards per play but just gaining 4.8 on crime behind the exiled Blake Bortles. Even though it’s not easy to rate teams from only one week of a season, and especially against a team such as the Chiefs whose offense is so good and defense is so bad. I still like what I saw in Jacksonville, I liked what I saw out of Fournette, DJ Clark and Chris Conley.
I think they have any weapons that are underrated. I think they are well trained with Doug Marrone on the sideline. Houston is looked at by you, I need to say pretty much the exact opposite. I believe Bill O’Brien is a dreadful football trainer and it is a big reason why I’m not high on Houston at all this year.
I have Houston rated as the 24 rated team in the NFL. A small downgrade from what I saw at the end of last year at which they ended up finishing as the #16 team. Last season overall they were a little net positive team on offense with a score of +0.1, based on what I saw at Week 1 it is going to be much of the exact same for Houston.
I really don’t think Watson or Hopkins could perform enough with this group to override the general malpractice that occurs on the Houston sideline. This team is well known for me until something proves differently.
I’ve Jacksonville as +3.8pts better than Houston to a neutral field, and +0.8pts greater than them on the road. I think the Jags can win this game. This line opened -9.5 and has only proceeded to -8.5 and back to -9 where it sits at most areas.
Give me Jacksonville +9 (-110) via Pinnacle
Sunday, September 15, 2019 – 01:00 PM EDT
As mentioned concerning the puppies ATS in Week 2 of last year. I’m also looking at a Week 1+2 tendency from last year where the lowest 8 futures groups moved 7-8-1 up, +3.29 units on the cash.
The bottom 8 futures groups at the very first week of the year last year went 15-9 ATS as well. To go back even farther, since 2017 – the bottom 8 teams over the futures market pre-season have gone 19-12-1 ATS in Week two of both the 2017 and 2018 year old. HOME teams in Week 2 of the NFL season last season moved 11-5 up for +2.66units.
Again dogs are 9-6-1 ATS so far in 2019. Automobiles have gone a combined 19-13 ATS in Week two of the past two seasons and the lowest 8 futures teams last year in the initial five months of the season went 22-16 ATS.
The Cowboys are a top 8 futures group to start the season which has some important tendencies to go with. Fading the best 8 futures that the initial 3 weeks of last year bettors went 14-10 ATS and also 17-13 at the initial 4 weeks of the season.
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TeamRankings.com updates the Cowboys a whole 3 spots up to the #12 position after Week 1. Washington moves up one place around the #28 rated team in the NFL as per their power ratings.
Defensive Ratings:
Dallas completed Week 1 allowing 470 yards against the NY Giants, but merely allowing 17 points. The Cowboys finished with a defensive performance rating of 35.2% meaning it took the Giants 35.2percent of the entire yards to dent 6pts contrary to them.
Finishing the match, holding the Giants to an average of 27.6 yards per point. They are the #11 ranked defense in the league according to my evaluations after Week 1. Washington is your #27 ranked defense in the league according to my ratings after Week 1.
They permitted 436 yards and 32 points from the Eagles. Finishing the game with a defensive efficiency rating of 18.7percent and in the long run, the Eagles averaged 13.6 metres per point from Washington.
Washington Net/Net
Washington comes out of Week 1 having a web efficiency score of -3.5% but a general positive net metres average. Washington had an average of 6.9 yards daily. Case Keenum went.
Defensively they gave up a total of 436 yards but just 6.1 yards per play normally. Net/Net this group includes a +0.8 rating. Last year Washington ended with a mean of 5 metres per play and also let 5.7 yards per play . An internet rating -0.7. Dependent on the ancient looks, this defense may be better than first expected.
Dallas Net/Net
The Cowboys come from Week 1 having a net efficiency rating of +18.1percent and total a net positive metres average. Dak Prescott threw for 405 yards in Week 1, Dallas needed a combined 89 yards rushing and a total of 494 yards on crime and average of 8 yards per match.
They simply grew up 470 yards total contrary to, an average of 7.1 yards per play against. A Net/Net rating of +0.9. This team finished last season with an average evaluation of +0. Gaining an average 5.4 yards per play along with giving up an average 5.4 yards against. Dallas appeared improved on either side of the football in Week 1, with no doubt.
AlMac’s Power Rating
I believe they are much superior than what the market expects these to become this season, after viewing Washington at Week 1. When comparing the two defenses you look at Washington improving from year tremendously, you look at Dallas who gave up more yards than Washington did however allowed things.
In the long run, I do not think there is much separating both of these teams in an match up. I just rank the Cowboys about +0.3pts greater compared to Washington at this point. I think with all the home-field benefit the Redskins could get an advantage in this to be entirely honest.
This line must be based on my numbers but in the amount it sits at there is a ton of value on Washington and today this line is far off. This one opened at Redskins +7 and has simply moved into +5.5, I believe there is roughly 8pts of significance on Washington ATS here. I think they can win this game as well.
Take Washington +5.5 (-102) through Pinnacle
Upgrade/Downgrade:
TeamRankings.com transfers Buffalo up 3 places to the #23 ranked team in the NFL. As 3 places drop to be the team ranked in the NFL as per their energy ratings.
Defensive Ratings:
Buffalo allowed just 223 yards against and 16pts against the Jets last week. Finishing with a 37.4% defensive performance score. They are the #7 rated defense so far from 2019.
The Giants enabled 494 yards versus Dallas and 35 points, an average of 14.1 yards per stage for the Cowboys. They end with a defensive efficiency score of 17.1% and will be the #29 ranked defense as per my evaluations so far.
Buffalo Net/Net
Buffalo comes from Week 1. The Bills set up 370 total yards against the Jets last week. Josh Allen threw for 254 yards going 24/37. Josh Brown went for 123 yards with 1 touch and 7 receptions .
In addition Devin Singletary travelled for 70 yards rushing on just 4 attempts. They averaged 5.9 yards per play on offense and gave up 3.4 yards per play defense. A Net/Net evaluation of +2.5. The Bills may be a frisky team to back in the 2019 season.
NY Giants Net/Net
The Giants come from Week 1 using a web efficiency rating of -18.1 percent. They allowed 494 yards on protection versus Dallas averaging a total of 8 yards per play . The Giants went for 470 yards on offense but only scored 17 points and finished the match with an average of 7.1 yards per play. They come from the week using a Net/Net rating of -0.9. The Giants defense could be their Achilles heel all year.
The Power Rating of alMac:
Call me crazy but I have Buffalo. Buffalo finished last season with a mean of 4.9 yards allowed a play defense. The next best average in the league.
They just gained an average of 4.7 yards over the offensive side of the ball, but when they can improve even marginally on offense this year from last year – I believe they’ll be able to cover a good deal of points spreads in months to come. I’ve the Giants ranked as the team in the league.
Based on my numbers this game should be Buffalo -5.5. I’ve the Bills about 8.5pts greater than the Giants on a neutral field, +5.5pts better than those on the street. The line started as the Giants being -2.5pt favorites and has since moved to the Bills being -1.5 pt favorites in the street. I’ve Buffalo.
The wager is to Buffalo +1.5 (-110) via Intertops
Sunday, September 15, 2019 – 04:25 PM EDT
Trends worth monitoring:
The Saints are the DOG (11-5 ATS in Week two of 2018 and 9-6-1 ATS so far from 2019), respectively (7-8-1, +2.21units in Week 2 of 2018) The Saints will also be the ROAD DOG (7-3-1 ATS so far from 2019) (ROAD Teams 10-5-1 ATS at 2019)
Upgrade/Downgrade:
TeamRankings.com moves the Saints 1 spot to the #4 spot in their power ratings downgrading them just under half-point after Week 1. The Rams will also be monetized 1 place to the #6 on their power ratings.
The Rams are the infrequent event on TeamRankings in which they are upgraded +0.2pts but due to the Ravens being upgraded +3.9pts and shifting 11 spots to the #3 spot. A ton of teams move down the positions because of that.
Defensive Ratings:
Neither of both of these teams looked great on protection by any stretch of the imagination in Week 1. The Rams gave up 27 points and enabled 343 yards to the Panthers. They ended with a defensive performance score of 22.2%. New Orleans allowed 414 yards and enabled 28pts.
They ended with a defensive performance rating of 21.4%. Neither team looked special on this side of the football last week. I’ve the Rams because the #18 rated defense in the league along with the Saints since the #21 ranked defense in the league after Week 1.
New Orleans Net/Net
The Saints come out of Week 1 having a net efficiency rating of 1.4% and they are a web friendly group on yards per play. The Saints went for 7.8 yards per play offense vs the Texans and let 7 metres per play on defense. A Net/Net rating of +0.8.
LA Rams Net/Net
The Rams complete using a net efficiency rating of 2.3% nevertheless they were not a positive group on yards per play after Week 1. The Rams went for 4.8 yards per play against the Panthers but also gave up 5.4 yards per play on defense. A Net/Net evaluation of -0.6.
The Power Rating of alMac:
Each of the boxes are checked by the Saints. They’re the underdog, they’re the street group and they are the energy. Not to mention this is the best revival spot for the Saints who aspire to place the past to break and take care of company versus the Rams in week 2 and also make no doubts regarding the simple fact they need to have gone to Super Bowl last year after losing to the Rams in controversial fashion in the NFC title game this past season. I have the Saints since the #6 ranked team in the NFL as per my ATS power evaluations.
I believe there is a ton of worth on New Orleans in this area. I’m not so large to the Rams this year particularly if they are going to continue to own injury issues with Todd Gurley. The Rams weren’t striking to me whatsoever in Week 1. I’ve got them ranked as the team in the NFL going into this game.
I have New Orleans about +4.5pts better than the Rams on a neutral area and +1.5pts better than them on the road. This match ought to be Saints -1.5 in my opinion. This line started in Rams -3 and it has since taken money and moved indoors 3 to 4 -2. I believe this line is off. You are getting about 3.5pts of value to the Saints here.
It is the Saints +2 (-110) via Intertops
Arizona comes into Baltimore and it is a conflict of best vs almost worst. The Ravens come to this game having a league-leading 8.8 yards per play avg coming off that winning win against Miami in Week 1. Baltimore also only let 4.3 yards per play . Since the 27th ranked team following the 1st week of this season in the league as per yards per play, arizona, on the flip side, sit. Arizona just gained 4.7 yards pre-play against Detroit and also gave up 6 yards per play on defense to the Lions in a 27-27 tie for Kyle Murray’s Cardinals in Week 1.
My combined power ratings utilizing Internet Yards per Play has Baltimore at 16.5pts greater compared to Arizona to a neutral area, 19.5pts better at home. If I am seeking to rear a road dog, or a dog more especially. This is not the time to do it. This line started at -13.5 and has since moved back and forth between -13 and -13.5. In spite of an almost two-touchdown handicap, I believe that the Ravens still have roughly 6pts of value on them. After convincing myself Arizona is an character non-grata spot.
Although the Cardinals were analyzed against Detroit in Week 1 defensively, Baltimore just permitted 200 yards and 10 points from a Miami Dolphins group. Arizona let 477 yards against the Lions and 27pts. It took 22% of the total yards of Detroit to score 6pts as to score it took Miami 60% of their entire yards for Baltimore. Baltimore needed only 10 percent of their total yards to score 6pts against Miami in Week 1, where Arizona needed 22 percent of the entire yards to score 6pts on Detroit. Baltimore has a +49.8% web efficiency benefit on Arizona in this one.
The distinct advantage on both sides of the ball will be really for the Ravens here. I see something {similar to a score, but nothing crazy but nevertheless a great QB and rookie coach in only their 2nd NFL game, against what looks like
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