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NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For first time this season, NASCAR will be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer at the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is searching for his fourth win of the year and the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances give him a 9-4 chance to receive it starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders at this .75-mile brief course. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to have a look at the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into account.

The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its selections is way up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway are in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR in Richmond 2019we can inform you the model is top on Kyle Larson, who makes a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He will start in 14th place after a marginally slower than anticipated qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the speed required to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a massive shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he is tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week at Bristol, ending 17th. In his profession, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In fact, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the track.

The model can also be targeting two other drivers using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots could hit it big.

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