For the first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the leader in the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds give him a 9-4 chance to get it starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond odds have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders at this .75-mile short track. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into consideration.
The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For NASCAR in Richmond 2019, we can tell you the version is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond odds.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is that the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He’ll start in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he has shown the speed needed to climb the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
And a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t crack the top five. There are far better worth in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway and then struggled last week at Bristol, finishing 17th. In his profession, Truex hasn’t fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The version can also be targeting two additional motorists using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.
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