For the first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer in the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year and also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 opportunity to get it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders in this .75-mile short track. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to have a look at the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors like track record and recent results into consideration.
The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Additionally, it nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its picks is far up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway are in his bloodstream. Now, his version simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we can inform you that the model is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of the last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond autumn race in 2017. He will begin in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the rate needed to scale the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
Along with a massive shocker: Truex Jr., one of the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he is tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway after which struggled last week at Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In fact, he has finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The model can also be targeting two additional drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.
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