For first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the pioneer in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is looking for his fourth win of this year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 opportunity to receive it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders at this .75-mile short course. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into consideration.
The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol last week. Anybody who has followed its selections is way up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Richmond Raceway are in his bloodstream. His model simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we can inform you the version is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond chances.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He will begin in 14th place after a slightly slower than anticipated qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the quickest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the rate required to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he is tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway after which struggled last week at Bristol, ending 17th. In his profession, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five only 3 times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The model can also be targeting two additional drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds of 20-1 or even longer to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.
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