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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL discussion to dip our toes into uncharted waters and then render our school football picks on the Monday night match between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will almost certainly be the first and only time this year we do this, as the previous week of exhibition NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season game of NCAA football comprising one of the top clubs in the nation, and a legendary football program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, let us start the discussion after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week while I backed the Titans. We have been placing wins back and forth so it looks like its my turn for the gold wreath, as I endorse the Irish and will accompany all the squares laying the lumber on a street favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days prior to this Monday night event, I see that the line has spiked a half-point about the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its now offered at a solid -20 across the board at all of the very best online sportsbooks.
I enjoy the Irish but you are currently leaning in this season-opening battle to the Cardinals. Apart from the place is it that you believe Louisville could hang with the boys?
Doug Upstone: Yes IMO and at least a successful triumph, said a lot about the direction of the Steelers and Titans. Lets move to football, where the matches count and so will our records on this one.
Remember Louisville utilized to play against competitions that are big-name? They held their engineered and own many upsets. These were enjoyable games to see and the Cardinals were an golf club.
But such as the former Papa Johns Stadium as well as its counterfeit (in real life) proprietor, Louisville soccer last season was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles at Appalachian State and will be out win games and to change the culture. This will not happen immediately as the ability level is down from theVille. This is a time for Louisville, a group which has the chance to begin taking actions in the right direction.
Ive read where the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (great name for a QB) and that I enjoy Hassan Hall because the direct running back. The defense, well, which makes me more nervous than having a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins. Please do tell youve got your Irish up.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing much flying into this match since the Notre Dame defense will keep them cozy in their nest. Scott Satterfield is currently in the big leagues and he has a team last year, where they went winless coming off of a dismal 2-10 record. This rebuild is comparable to carrying a hot air balloon and seeking to turn it in an F-22 Raptor.
While this may eventually occur, the issue is that Louisville is confronting a group that made it to the CFP this past year and owned one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points within the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 till they fulfilled Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense clicked on all cylinders as well, averaging 33 points per match over.
So, my question is, just how will be a quarterback like Pass who is slow to release, supposed to get some traction against a swarming Irish defense? Especially when he is working with an offensive strategy that is entirely new and a coach?
Please, Doug, rescue me Im lost! I see no way, shape or form in which Louisville is going to be able to keep up and Im desperate to the ancestral wisdom and handicapping expertise that is prodigious!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to read in your last sentence youre coming around to the sunny side of sports betting, or youre just being the identical shrewd a** you are. I will allow the SBR readers that are making college football picks decide on this. I am the first to understand Louisville was, however, 1-11 ATS and sucked final season.
Just like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons However, that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A new trainer brings a fresh mindset and with this being a federal game, Satterfield will sell his team. Louisville does have to trust the Irish will take them for granted and never have much fight.
Lets also think about, Brian Kelly with gold and the blue is only 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, also when dishing out 20 or more digits, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. This defense you said may improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even if you dont/can not amuse like Bama or even Clemson, it will take some time.
I was being a bit facetious because although youve got an handicapping resume, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this situation, because Louisville could be greater but Id submit that they could be trained with a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their document left by an equally awkward coach such as Petrino you happen to be shooting blanks.
I know that placing nearly 3 touchdowns on the street is square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but sometimes the general public is right, and also in this situation they surely are. Until once we get down on our NFL Game of the Week next week, lets see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
Read more here: http://mngdep.teipir.gr/el/2019/09/26/ufc-and-mma-betting/