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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and I will deviate from our regularly scheduled plan of NFL discussion to dip our feet into uncharted waters and render our school football selections on the Monday night game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will probably be the first and only time this year we do so, as the previous week of display NFL soccer is somewhat lackluster compared to some regular-season game of NCAA soccer comprising one of the greatest clubs in the country, plus a legendary football program to boot up, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets start the discussion after my buddy Doug Upstone got the better of me last week with a wager about the Steelers while I supported the Titans. We have been swapping wins forth and back so it looks like it is my turn to get the golden wreath, since I heartily endorse the Irish and will follow all the squares putting the thick lumber on a public street favorite.
After reviewing the college football odds nearly six days ahead of this Monday night event, I see that the line has spiked a half-point on the preferred, opening at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where its currently offered in a solid -20 round the board at all of the very best internet sportsbooks.
I enjoy the Irish but you are currently leaning within this battle on the Cardinals. Other than the venue is it that you think Louisville can hang with the boys from South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes a convincing win and IMO, said a great deal about the management of the Steelers and Titans. Let us move ahead to real football, in which the games rely and so will our recordings on this one.
Recall Louisville used to play against opponents that are big-name? They held their own and engineered many upsets. These were enjoyable games and also the Cardinals were an exciting club.
But just for example the former Papa Johns Stadium and its fake (in real life) proprietor, Louisville football last year was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield worked miracles in Appalachian State and are out to alter the culture and win matches. This will not happen immediately as the talent level is down from theVille. This is a big time for Louisville, a group that has the opportunity.
I have read in which the Cards coaches have sped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and I like Hassan Hall because the direct running back. The defense, well, that makes me more worried than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9. Please do tell youve got your Irish up.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals will not be doing since the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest, flying in this game. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and he has a team coming from a dismal 2-10 album this past year, in which they went winless. This rebuild is akin to trying to turn it and carrying a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually occur, the problem is that Louisville is facing a group which made it to the CFP this past year and possessed one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, devoting only 17.2 points over the regular season and going a perfect 12-0 till they met Clemson in the CFP semifinals. The offense was clicking on all cylinders also, averaging over 33 points per match.
So, my query is, how can be a quarterback like traveling whos slow to discharge, designed to get some traction against a swarming shield? Especially when he is working with an offensive scheme and a new trainer?
Please, Doug, rescue me I am lost! I find no way, shape or form in which Louisville will have the ability to keep pace with the Golden Domers and I am desperate to handicapping expertise that is prodigious and your ancestral wisdom!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im glad to read in your last sentence you are coming over to the bright side of sports betting, or youre just being the exact same wise a** you usually are. Ill let the SBR readers that are making college football picks decide on that. I am the first to realize Louisville fully pumped and was 1-11 ATS, although not just 2-10 last year.
But that staff COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino, like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons. A coach brings a new mindset and his team will be sold by Satterfield on building a statement with this being a federal game. Louisville does need to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and not have a lot of fight.
Let us also consider, Brian Kelly with gold and all the blue is only 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and a ATS if dishing out more or 20 digits. This defense you said may improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even when you dont/can not recruit like Clemson or even Bama, it will take time.
I was a bit facetious because although you have an handicapping that was impressive resume, then you miss the mark from time to time. And in this instance, because Louisville might be better but Id submit that they could be coached by a Rhesus monkey and improve upon their deplorable document rendered by an inept trainer such as Petrino, you happen to be shooting blanks.
I understand that placing nearly 3 touchdowns on the road is square biz for certain and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy road chalk, but on occasion the general public is right, and in this case they surely are. Until when we get down on our NFL Game of the Week next week, let us see what happens on Monday night when the Irish come prepared to rumble in Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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